Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.178431 3.543805 3.939670 4.401330 4.926056 5.505195 6.194538
2025-02-16 2.627751 3.115382 3.682167 4.393102 5.265834 6.308362 7.657171
2025-02-23 2.295100 2.847878 3.525065 4.422889 5.592689 7.079860 9.137126
2025-03-02 1.997074 2.567453 3.295543 4.304209 5.682817 7.526585 10.222327
2025-03-09 1.793262 2.375901 3.146235 4.254678 5.834236 8.043454 11.437567
2025-03-16 1.626801 2.212369 3.010638 4.198226 5.954444 8.511328 12.620254
2025-03-23 1.554159 2.167832 3.029753 4.354778 6.387597 9.468588 14.650594
2025-03-30 1.445224 2.059903 2.945561 4.346131 6.564628 10.047765 16.147847
2025-04-06 1.343399 1.952516 2.850721 4.308295 6.685977 10.543204 17.559188
2025-04-13 1.207840 1.783501 2.648512 4.082197 6.478228 10.472151 17.970696
2025-04-20 1.142936 1.717105 2.597862 4.092039 6.657108 11.064317 19.639392
2025-04-27 1.100949 1.682744 2.593776 4.175892 6.966639 11.911825 21.893016
2025-05-04 1.054525 1.639410 2.574161 4.235732 7.247473 12.753165 24.288981
2025-05-11 1.008750 1.593818 2.547253 4.280385 7.505527 13.582915 26.793078
2025-05-18 0.966099 1.550088 2.519605 4.320191 7.756944 14.426814 29.456663
2025-05-25 0.901021 1.463982 2.412944 4.206816 7.703540 14.658802 30.814192
2025-06-01 0.852517 1.402949 2.345260 4.159001 7.771524 15.141740 32.808975
2025-06-08 0.806948 1.344044 2.277094 4.104088 7.818769 15.584467 34.776655
2025-06-15 0.795563 1.344557 2.315398 4.256632 8.304681 17.026083 39.415689
2025-06-22 0.762037 1.303134 2.273875 4.248211 8.451202 17.733404 42.326030
2025-06-29 0.727117 1.257037 2.220501 4.211350 8.532244 18.299912 44.964724
2025-07-06 0.671032 1.168863 2.082407 3.991050 8.189891 17.838303 44.740368
2025-07-13 0.647512 1.140127 2.056171 4.000641 8.362532 18.626336 48.140952